Super Rugby Round 15 Preview & Betting Tips

Super Rugby is back upon us this week, and with three games left, and both African conferences still wide open, there is plenty to play for. You can expect the guys coming back to Super Rugby to either feel refreshed, if they were not involved with the Boks, or hungry to shine again after a disappointing series against the Irish.

Super Rugby Much At Stake In Round 15

It remains a four-horse race for three spots, between the Lions, Stormers, Bulls and Sharks. But with a lot of those teams playing against some of the cannon fodder of the competition, such as the Cheetahs, Sunwolves and Kings, it will be hard to earn more points than others.

The Rebels host the Stormers as they take to their late Australian tour, while the Cheetahs host the Western Force in Bloemfontein in a game that does not have too much bearing on the quarter-finals. In arguably one of the clashes of the weekend, the high-flying Lions host the Sharks, who have everything to play for as they currently sit in that lucrative third spot in the African conference. The Kings have the unenviable task of taking on the defending champions at home while the Bulls close out the weekend in Argentina against the disappointing Jaguares.

Rebels v Stormers

Although the Stormers are currently topping their group, ahead of the Bulls, they should not feel too confident with their performances this year. In a group where they only faced a poor selection of Australian teams, the men from the Cape have not run away with things.

They take on a Rebels team that have surprised many in the Australian conference, and a team that are still mathematically in with a chance at the play-offs.

The Stormers are also missing a few key figures, including their two co-captains, Frans Malherbe and Juan de Jongh. The prop having picked up an injury with the Boks while De Jongh i with the Springbok Sevens team. Schalk Burger assumes the captaincy in a team with a very green backline.

Jaco Taute returns to Super Rugby to mix it up with new boys Daniel and Jean-Luc du Plessis with Cheslin Kolbe also missing through Sevens commitments.

Expect the Stormers to rely more on their forwards for this match, which will see them go toe to toe with the Rebels who have been strong physically as well. With such an inexperienced and fresh backline, the Rebels may well have the settled edge, especially at home.

Sport Freak Prediction

It could be a surprising hiding dished out by the Rebels as the Stormers fail to gel after a longbreak. Rebels by 10.

What The Bookmakers Are Saying

As always we like to investigate what the bookmakers are saying. The bookies got this one seriously wrong, although the odds indicate that they are largely undecided who will win, they did make the Stormers favourites…ever so slightly. The Smart money is on the Rebels and there is a serious opportunity to collect some coin here with a Rebel victory being offered at odds of @2.05, the Stormers can be found at @1.80, with only a +1 handicap between the teams.

Stormers vs Rebels Odds Round 16

Super Rugby Betting Tip: Rebels For a straight win @2.05 (confidence: 70%)
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Teams

Melbourne Rebels: 15 Mike Harris, 14 Jonah Placid, 13 Sefa Naivalu, 12 Reece Hodge, 11 Tom English, 10 Jack Debreczeni, 9 Ben Meehan, 8 Colby Fainga’a, 7 Sean McMahon (captain), 6 Jordy Reid, 5 Lopeti Timani, 4 Luke Jones, 3 Toby Smith, 2 James Hanson, 1 Cruze Ah Nau.

Replacements: 16 Pat Leafa, 17 Tom Moloney, 18 Laurie Weeks, 19 Culum Retallick, 20 Adam Thomson, 21 Mick Snowden, 22 Mitch Inman, 23 Paul Asquith.

Stormers: 15 Jaco Taute, 14 Kobus van Wyk, 13 Daniel du Plessis, 12 Damian de Allende, 11 Leolin Zas, 10 Jean-Luc du Plessis, 9 Nic Groom, 8 Schalk Burger (captain), 7 Siyamthanda Kolisi, 6 Nizaam Carr, 5 Pieter-Steph du Toit, 4 Eben Etzebeth, 3 Vincent Koch, 2 Bongi Mbonambi, 1 Oliver Kebble.

Replacements: 16 Siyabonga Ntubeni, 17 Alistair Vermaak, 18 JP Smith, 19 JD Schickerling, 20 Rynhardt Elstadt, 21 Sikhumbuzo Notshe, 22 Louis Schreuder, 23 Scott van Breda.

Cheetahs vs Force

The Cheetahs have failed to impress for the past 2-years and that exciting play which made them the darlings of Super Rugby has disappeared along with former coach Naka Drotske.

For the Force, it has been much of the same. Both of these teams have very little left to play for, barring pride! At least they can make it an interesting encounter, especially with the 2-contrasting styles of play with the Force opting to keep It tight, opposed to the Cheetahs who try to spread it wide whenever possible.

As mentioned, the Cheetahs have lost a lot of their flair and their attitude towards throwing the ball around, might just pay off – against a team like the Force who only seem to be able to defend, the men from the hinterland might chance their arm even more.

The sideshow to the main competition is that the Force arrived in Bloemfontein with an interim head coach – South African Dave Wessels – after Michael Foley was shown the door during the June break.

The talisman of the Cheetahs, Lodewyk de Jager is still out of action thanks to the injury he picked up in the first Bok test, but he has been a shadow of the man he was last year. Instead, the Cheetahs will have to rely a lot on Oupa Mohoje for inspiration, and it will be interesting to see whether he can produce! Allister Coetzee will certainly have his eyes glued on Oupa Mohoje since he might eventually become a necessity for Springbok selection once the 50% quota gets enforced.

The Force have been truly woeful this year, and with a new coach, and a break, they will not feel too motivated – especially travelling to the hard ground of the Free State in mid-winter.

Sport Freak Super Rugby Prediction Cheetahs vs Force

Expect there to be a fight to start, but for the resistance to crumble as the Cheetahs go to town on the tryline. Cheetahs by 17

What The Bookmakers Are Saying

The bookies largely agree with our prediction having made the Cheetahs overwhelming favorites @1.33, if you would like to throw away some money the Force can be taken @3.25 for a straight win, much to short to touch in our opinion

cheetahs-vs-force-idds

Super Rugby Betting Tip: You have Two Options Here:

  • Make a Large wager on the Cheetahs for a straight win @1.33. A R1000 (ZAR) punt will result in a return of R1333, probably the easiest 300 bucks you ever made! (confidence: 95%)
  • For those looking to be a bit more conservative you can take the Cheetahs at a -8 handicap for odds at @2.00, very generous! Whatever happens this will not be a close match! It rarely is in Bloemfontein. (confidence: 70%)

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Teams
Cheetahs: 15 Clayton Blommetjies, 14 Sergeal Petersen, 13 Francois Venter, (captain),12 Michael van der Spuy, 11 Raymond Rhule, 10 Fred Zeilinga, 9 Tian Meyer, 8 Uzair Cassiem, 7 Teboho Mohoje, 6 Paul Schoeman, 5 Francois Uys, 4 Carl Wegner, 3 Nicolaas van Dyk, 2 Torsten van Jaarsveld, 1 Retshegofaditswe Nche.

Replacements: 16 Joseph Dweba, 17 Luan de Bruin, 18 Johan Coetzee, 19 Reniel Hugo, 20 Henco Venter, 21 Shaun Venter, 22 George Whitehead, 23 William Small-Smith.

Western Force: 15 Dane Haylett–Petty, 14 Luke Morahan, 13 Solomoni Rasolea, 12 Kyle Godwin, 11 Marcel Brache, 10 Jono Lance, 9 Ian Prior, 8 Angus Cottrell, 7 Chris Alcock, 6 Brynard Stander, 5 Adam Coleman, 4 Ross Haylett-Petty, 3 Tetera Faulkner, 2 Harry Scoble, 1 Pek Cowan (captain).

Replacements: 16 Anaru Rangi, 17 Francois van Wyk, 18 Guy Millar, 19 Rory Walton, 20 Richard Hardwick, 21 Ryan Louwrens, 22 Peter Grant, 23 Semisi Masirewa.

Sharks Vs Lions

The Lions last played the Sharks in Durban and gave them a harsh lesson on clever rugby. It was a real powerhouse performance from the best South African team in the competition, but the Sharks have sworn it won’t happen twice.

The Sharks know a win this weekend will see them in striking distance of topping the conference, depending on how other results go, and that could well lead to a dream home quarter-final. A loss, on the other hand, will see them scraping to even get a wildcard position.

The Lions are brimming with confidence as a team and as a group of individuals. Over half, their starting team were chosen for the Boks, and at least half of those players really shone. In fact, had it not been for the likes of Ruan Combrinck and Faf de Klerk, the Boks may well have made the wrong kind of history.

The confidence and skill of the Lions is hard to match, but it can be done, just ask the Hurricanes. That is literally the strategy the Sharks are going to Johannesburg with, knowing the Lions can falter, and falter badly if they strike early.

Sport Freak Super Rugby Prediction Lions vs Sharks

The smart money, is on the Lions, they are the overwhelming favourites, but if you fancy a flutter on an unexpected underdog, it would be worth backing the men in black and white, a Sharks win is not impossible, after all we did manage to put a man on the moon, so anything is possible!

What The Bookmakers Are Saying

The bookmakers are heavily favouring the Lions, with the Lions on offer at odds of @1.36 for a straight win. The Sharks are on offer @3.1 for a straight win. The handicap has been set at 6-points, thus, giving the Sharks a 6-point start.

lions vs sharks odds round 15

Super Rugby Betting Tip: The Sharks have homeground advantage, although we think the Lions will win the handicap of +6 can lead to a payoff betting on the sharks…although dont bet your life savings on that! (confidence: 50%)

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Teams

Lions: 15 Andries Coetzee, 14 Ruan Combrinck, 13 Lionel Mapoe, 12 Rohan Janse Van Rensburg, 11 Courtnall Skosan, 10 Elton Jantjies, 9 Francois de Klerk, 8 Ruan Ackermann, 7 Warwick Tecklenburg, 6 Jaco Kriel (captain), 5 Franco Mostert, 4 Andries Ferreira, 3 Julian Redelinghuys, 2 Malcolm Marx, 1 Dylan Smith.

Replacements: 16 Armand van der Merwe, 17 Corne Fourie, 18 Jacques van Rooyen, 19 Lourens Erasmus, 20 Cyle Brink, 21 Ross Cronje, 22 Howard Mnisi, 23 Sylvian Mahuza.

Sharks: 15 Odwa Ndungane, 14 Jon-Paul Pietersen, 13 Paul Jordaan, 12 Andre Esterhuizen, 11 Lwazi Mvovo, 10 Garth April, 9 Michael Claassens, 8 Philip van der Walt, 7 Jean-Luc du Preez, 6 Keegan Daniel, 5 Stephan Lewies, 4 Etienne Oosthuizen, 3 Lourens Adriaanse, 2 Franco Marais, 1 Tendai Mtawarira (captain).

Replacements: 16 Chiliboy Ralepelle, 17 Thomas du Toit, 18 Coenie Oosthuizen, 19 Ruan Botha, 20 Lubabalo Mtembu, 21 Stefan Ungerer, 22 Rhyno Smith, 23 Sibusiso Sithole.

Kings v Highlanders:

Albeit it a home game for the Kings, the Highlanders have made it quite clear they are showing no fear for this match as they have brought a bit of a B-squad on tour. It is a tactical move that may see them struggle slightly, but they definitely won’t be losing on Saturday.

The Kings were destined to fail before a ball was kicked in Port Elizabeth with all the issues around the running of the Union. And it has played out as expected on the field, poorly.

The Highlanders, on the other hand, have been a team pushing to defend their crown in a tough New Zealand group. They know they need maximum points, and even with a mixed up team, they will still feel confident they can get it.

Sport Freak Super Rugby Prediction Lions vs Sharks

A host of Kings players are already wishing this season was over, some of them even have contracts elsewhere to look forward to. Expect the Highlanders to run riot by at least 40 points. one of the biggest victories in Super Rugby history on the cards here? Certainly not impossible!

What The Bookmakers Are Saying

As expected the Highlanders are overwhelming favourites, however the line / handicap is rather short which certainly presents a great opportunity to cash in for punters.

kings-vs-force-odds

Super Rugby Betting Tip: Open the piggy bank and place a bet on the Hurricanes to win with a handicap of -27-points, this WILL be a runaway. (Confidence: 96%)
Teams

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Southern Kings: 15 Malcolm Jaer, 14 Lukhanyo Am, 13 Stefan Watermeyer, 12 Shane Gates, 11 Wandile Mjekevu, 10 Elgar Watts, 9 Ntando Kebe, 8 Aidon Davis, 7 Stefan Willemse, 6 Cyril-John Velleman, 5 JC Astle, 4 Steven Sykes (captain), 3 Tom Botha, 2 Edgar Marutlulle, 1 Schalk Ferreira.

Replacements: 16 Martin Bezuidenhout, 17 Sithembiso Sithole, 18 Justin Ackerman, 19 Schalk Oelofse, 20 Jacques Engelbrecht, 21 Kevin Luiters, 22 Louis Fouche, 23 Luzuko Vulindlu.

Highlanders: 15 Matt Faddes, 14 Jack Wilson, 13 Jason Emery, 12 Rob Thompson, 11 Ryan Tongia, 10 Marty Banks, 9 Te Aihe Toma, 8 Luke Whitelock, 7 Shane Christie (captain), 6 Gareth Evans, 5 Tom Franklin, 4 Mark Reddish, 3 Josh Hohneck, 2 Ash Dixon, 1 Daniel Lienert-Brown.

Replacements: 16 Greg Pleasants-Tate, 17 Aki Seiuli, 18 Siosuia Halanukonuka, 19 Liam Squire, 20 Dan Pryor, 21 Jamie Booth, 22 Lima Sopoaga, 23. Patrick Osborne.

Jaguares v Bulls:

Both the Bulls and the Jaguares have failed to live up the hype that was placed on them before the season kicked off. Traditionally, the Bulls are always competitive, but they are only really competing for a wild card spot as it stands against the Sharks.

Be that as it may, the wild card is a shot at play-off rugby where anything can happen, and the Bulls are the most successful South African team in those situations. They know they need to pick up points in Argentina, but despite a relatively poor Jaguares team, they are not an easy feat in Argentina.

No team has destroyed the Jaguares at home, not even the Chiefs, Stormers or Sharks. The Bulls will be well aware of that, and probably lamenting all their injury concerns.

Sport Freak Super Rugby Prediction Bulls vs Jaguares

This will be a tough outing for the Bulls, and the physicality of the Jaguares is the last thing they would want first up after a long break. Expect the Jaguares to grind out a famous win at home by a mere 4-points.

What The Bookmakers Are Saying

The bookmakers who are not always right but tend to get a lot more right than wrong, somewhat disagree with our prediction.  Although the odds indicate the Bookie are rather undecided which team will emerge victories, they made the Bulls very slight favourites, being on offer at odds of @1.95 for a straight win. The Jaguares can be picked up at odds of @2.05 for a straight win!

bulls vs jaguares odds super rugby round 16

Super Rugby Betting Tip: A tough match to predict, however, Argentina has been a fortress for the Jaguares thus far, if neither the Sharks, Stormers or Chiefs could manage to pull of a victory in South America, there is no reason to belief the Bulls can turn the tables, especially wih their current strategy and playing style. Jaguares to win a hard fought contest.   (Confidence: 65%)

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Teams

Jaguares: 15 Joaquin Tuculet, 14 Santiago Cordero, 13 Matias Moroni, 12 Jeronimo de la Fuente, 11 Manuel Montero, 10 Nicolas Sanchez, 9 Martin Landajo, 8 Facundo Isa, 7 Juan Manuel Leguizamon, 6 Pablo Matera, 5 Tomas Lavanini, 4 Guido Petti, 3 Ramiro Herrera, 2 Agustin Creevy (captain), 1 Nahuel Tetaz Chaparro.

Replacements: 16 Julian Montoya, 17 Santiago Garcia Botta, 18 Enrique Pieretto, 19 Ignacio Larrague, 20 Javier Ortega Desio, 21 Gonzalo Bertranou, 22 Matias Orlando, 23 Lucas Gonzales Amorosino.

Bulls: 15 SP Marais, 14 Travis Ismaiel, 13 Jesse Kriel, 12 Burger Odendaal, 11 Jamba Ulengo, 10 Francois Brummer, 9 Rudy Paige, 8 Arno Botha, 7 Pieter Labuschagne (captain), 6 Roelof Smit, 5 Marvin Orie, 4 Jason Jenkins, 3 Marcel van der Merwe, 2 Bandise Maku, 1 Lizo Gqoboka.

Replacements: 16 Jaco Visagie, 17 Pierre Schoeman, 18 Jannes Kirsten, 19 Renaldo Bothma, 20 Piet van Zyl, 21 Tian Schoeman, 22 Dries Swanepoel, 23 Werner Kruger.

Do you agree with our predictions, are we in for some upsets in round 15? Who are you backing? As always drop us a comment below and share your tips!

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